Moatly / Stocks / NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) — what is it worth?

$222.27 · $5.4T market cap · Semiconductors
Scored from reported financial statements. Data as of 2026-09-19.
Moat
100
Durability of advantage
Management
100
Returns and capital use
Margin of safety
53
Price against value
Buy price
$118.65
Consensus of three methods
Intrinsic value
$237.30
What the business is worth
Margin of safety price
$118.65
Intrinsic value less 50%
10-CAP price
$53.21
Ten times owner earnings
Payback time price
$83.99
Eight years of free cash flow
MoatlyAI Insights

Moat and management scores of 100 point to a business with few peers in its category. Return on invested capital of 62.9 percent, gross margin of 71.1 percent, and debt to equity of just 0.1x describe a company generating high returns on capital while carrying almost no leverage. Those are the qualities the two top scores are measuring, and the underlying figures support them plainly.

The margin of safety score of 45 tells a different story. The current price sits well above every valuation anchor here, including the consensus buy price of $97.95, the margin of safety price of $97.95, the 10-cap price of $49.63, and the payback time price of $78.34. The model arrived at these anchors using a capped growth rate of 15 percent, well below the 67 percent growth rate measured from the company's own history, a deliberate conservatism rather than a reflection of weaker prospects.

The tension is between a business whose operating figures are about as strong as this framework can register, and a price that already sits far above what even a conservative version of that strength justifies on these anchors.

Key figures

Price$222.27
Market cap$5.4T
P/E ratio28.1x
Return on invested capital62.9%
Gross margin71.1%
Debt to equity0.07x
Free cash flow yield2.1%
Growth rate used15.0%
Growth rate measured67.0%
Exit multiple assumed30.0x

How it compares

CompanyMoatMgmtMargin of safety
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO)999833
Micron Technology (MU)627038
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)917510
Intel Corporation (INTC)24390

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Run your own assumptions

Every number above is built on assumptions that can be changed. In Moatly you can move the growth rate, the exit multiple and the margin of safety and watch every figure recalculate, so you are testing your own view of NVIDIA Corporation rather than accepting ours.

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Not investment advice. Estimates only, built on stated assumptions that could be wrong. Figures are drawn from reported financial statements and were current as of the date shown. Do your own research.