Moatly / Stocks / CSCO

Cisco (CSCO) — what is it worth?

$109.51 · $431.6B market cap · Communication Equipment
Scored from reported financial statements. Data as of 2026-09-19.
Moat
36
Durability of advantage
Management
97
Returns and capital use
Margin of safety
6
Price against value
Buy price
$34.54
Consensus of three methods
Intrinsic value
$13.07
What the business is worth
Margin of safety price
$6.54
Intrinsic value less 50%
10-CAP price
$34.54
Ten times owner earnings
Payback time price
$34.50
Eight years of free cash flow
MoatlyAI Insights

Cisco's management score of 97 lines up with a 13.0% return on invested capital, a 64.5% gross margin, and debt to equity of 0.59x, which together describe a business that uses capital efficiently and carries little leverage. The moat score of 36 sits far below that. This is not a badly run company; it is a well-run company whose growth has stalled, and the moat score measures compounding rather than competence.

That stall drives everything below it. Growth measured over the period is 5.0%, and a company growing at that rate earns a low exit multiple — 9.8x here, close to the model's floor of 8. A modest growth rate compounded for a decade and then capitalised at a single-digit multiple produces an intrinsic value of $13.07 against a share price of $109.51. The cash-flow anchors are more forgiving, at $34.54 and $34.50, but they point the same direction.

The tension is straightforward. The price implies a re-acceleration that the last decade of figures does not contain, while the balance sheet and capital discipline remain genuinely strong. A margin of safety score of 6 is a statement about the gap between those two things, not a verdict on the company.

Key figures

Price$109.51
Market cap$431.6B
P/E ratio32.9x
Return on invested capital13.0%
Gross margin64.5%
Debt to equity0.59x
Free cash flow yield2.8%
Growth rate used4.9%
Growth rate measured5.0%
Exit multiple assumed9.8x

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Run your own assumptions

Every number above is built on assumptions that can be changed. In Moatly you can move the growth rate, the exit multiple and the margin of safety and watch every figure recalculate, so you are testing your own view of Cisco rather than accepting ours.

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Not investment advice. Estimates only, built on stated assumptions that could be wrong. Figures are drawn from reported financial statements and were current as of the date shown. Do your own research.