Autoliv Inc scores 89 for management and 79 for moat. The management score rests on a return on invested capital of 15.7% and a gross margin of 19.2% — figures that describe a business turning capital into profit efficiently. Debt sits at 0.95x equity. A solid moat alongside exceptional management is a combination worth understanding before the price matters at all.
Three independent anchors set the price worth paying. Growth is modelled at 7.7% a year, below the 8.0% actually measured over the last decade — the model caps growth rather than extrapolating a good run forwards. The exit multiple assumed is 15.5x. That produces an intrinsic value of $68.65, a 10-CAP price of $118.22 and a payback time price of $134.26, with the value zone set at the highest of the three, $134.26. Today's price of $113.07 sits inside that zone.
Autoliv Inc currently reads as a strong business at a price the model supports. That is rare enough to warrant asking what the market sees that these figures do not.
| Price | $113.07 |
| Market cap | $8.3B |
| P/E ratio | 13.3x |
| Return on invested capital | 15.7% |
| Gross margin | 19.2% |
| Debt to equity | 0.95x |
| Free cash flow yield | 7.9% |
| Growth rate used | 7.7% |
| Growth rate measured | 8.0% |
| Exit multiple assumed | 15.5x |
| Company | Moat | Buy price |
| Aptiv (APTV) | 57 | $54.01 |
| Allison Transmission Holding (ALSN) | 67 | $106.60 |
| Lear Corp (LEA) | 50 | $216.77 |
| Lkq Corp (LKQ) | 43 | $26.89 |
Every number above is built on assumptions that can be changed. In Moatly you can move the growth rate, the exit multiple and the margin of safety and watch every figure recalculate, so you are testing your own view of Autoliv Inc rather than accepting ours.